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IranPolitik May Day Edition: The Iranian labour movement in 2013

May 1, 2013 in Analysis

Introduction As another May Day comes and goes, we at IranPolitik continue to be astounded by not only the worsening economic condition faced by Iranian workers, but also by the continued failure of the so-called opposition, particularly the Reformist and Green Movement political currents, to support and cooperate with the Iranian labour movement. This movement is potentially one of the most powerful of its kind in the Middle East, which according to Sohrab Behdad and Farhad Nomani numbers over six million workers as of 2006 and many times more if their families are included. Yet no mainstream Iranian political current has even seriously attempted to incorporate the labour [...]

Israel’s apology to Turkey: An anti-Iranian alliance and sign of a “new Cold War”?

March 25, 2013 in Analysis, News

By Adnan Riza Güzel Last week Tehran received what is likely to have been one of the worst pieces of news so far this year from Ankara and Tel Aviv. Three years ago Turkey had minimised its diplomatic contact with Israel, after the Gaza flotilla raid in which Israeli soldiers killed Turkish activists in international waters trying to transport humanitarian aid to the Palestinians. Now however the two rivals of the Islamic Republic have resolved their dispute with American mediation during President Barack Obama’s recent visit, pushing Tehran in a more precarious situation with its erstwhile foe, Israel, and emerging strategic rival in the Levant, Turkey. Ankara’s apprehension [...]

Iran Election Watch 2013: The Reformist Current – At a dead end

March 8, 2013 in Analysis, Iran Election Watch

In a speech on 07 March 2013 during a ceremony commemorating Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corsp (IRGC) clergymen martyred in the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), Intelligence Minister Heydar Moslehi attacked the Reformist Current in one of the first majour attacks against them in the lead up to the 2013 Iranian presidential election campaign. In the speech, which contained many indirect allusions, he said that Centrists (led by former President Ayatollah Ali-Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani), Reformists (led by former President Mohammad Khatami), and the Green Movement (led by former Prime Minister Mir Hossein Mousavi and former Speaker of the Parliament Mehdi Karroubi) were united in a conspiracy against Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei [...]

Iran Election Watch 2013: The Ahmadinejad-Mashaei Current – Much ado about nothing?

February 22, 2013 in Analysis, Iran Election Watch

Editor’s note: As part of our Iran Election Watch 2013 series, we are analyzing the key political currents in the Islamic Republic. Today we look at the Ahmadinejad-Mashaei Current in part because of the prominence it has gained in the domestic Iranian and international press as of late. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a lame duck president. His policies, particularly in the economy and foreign policy, are largely perceived as failures by the Iranian public. He is under regular attack from the Iranian parliament and judiciary. Hardliners who supported him to the hilt during his first term now disparage him for his association with what they call the “deviant current”, [...]

Iran Election Watch 2013: The Islamic Republic to carry out most closed elections in its history?

January 30, 2013 in Analysis, Iran Election Watch

Background In a recent long-form analytical article published on the hardline website Jahan News on 27 January 2013, Reza Sarraj laid out what he asserted the United States’ strategy toward the Islamic Republic will be in the next several months. Sarraj is the former head of the student branch of the Basij paramilitary, currently a researcher for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-linked Imam Hossein University, and a political analyst for a number of hardline Iranian publications including Fars News Agency. He has been accused by Iranian student leader Ali Afshari of having participated in the interrogation of political prisoners in the past. Our article does not cover [...]

IranPolitik Historical Archive: Rafsanjani’s message to a young IRGC in 1988 may still have relevance today

January 24, 2013 in Analysis, Historical Archive

Context & overview History, and the materials that document it, often help shed light on the events and personalities of the past. However, they can also help us better understand the present. Two videos ( 1 – 2 ) recently posted on the website of ex-president and current Expediency Council Chairman Ayatollah Ali-Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani certainly fall into this category of valuable historical material. The videos, which are collectively 53:19 long, cover a single speech by Hashemi-Rafsanjani to Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commanders in 1988. The speech came at one of the vital turning points in the Islamic Republic’s history when the country’s domestic and foreign policy situation [...]

Iran Election Watch 2013: Saeedi reveals the IRGC’s political preferences, role in upcoming election?

January 9, 2013 in Analysis, Iran Election Watch

The Islamic Republic of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei had in recent months called on Iranian officials as well as the media not to discuss the upcoming 2013 Iranian presidential election too early. Now with the supreme leader’s speech on 08 January 2013, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) political chief Yadollah Javani’s editorial in the organization’s flagship weekly newspaper Sobh-e Sadegh on 07 January, and the supreme leader’s representative to the IRGC Ali Saeedi’s interview with ISNA on 08 January, it appears that the election campaign has finally begun. While Khamenei, Javani, and Saeedi have all made remarks worthy of analysis, Saeedi’s recent comments have raised the most [...]

Iran Election Watch 2013: A look at the main political currents

January 5, 2013 in Analysis, Iran Election Watch

Between January and June of 2013, IranPolitik will begin a new series of articles under the label Iran Election Watch 2013 to cover the dynamics and implications of the upcoming Iranian presidential election. During this six month period IranPolitik will cover a wide variety of election-related subjects. These include the Islamic Republic’s system for vetting and filtering presidential candidates, the nature of political electioneering and campaigning in Iran, some of the key domestic and foreign policy issues at stake, the relevant political currents, and the candidates. Below we have given brief overviews of the main political currents that could play some role in the election. Each current will [...]

Iran 2013: IranPolitik’s look at Iranian politics in the year ahead

January 2, 2013 in Analysis

As we enter 2013 we can reflect on another tumultuous year in Iran’s domestic and foreign politics. Below we have summarized some of the biggest trends and events of 2012 and look ahead to the new year to understand both possible continuities and changes in Iranian domestic and foreign politics. Iran 2012: A reflection 2012 was an eventful year in Iranian politics. On the foreign policy front, Iran continue to dominate international headlines as a result of three key interrelated issues. The first was the Iranian nuclear program which has been an increasingly majour issue since 2002 when the existence of Iran’s uranium enrichment plant at Natanz was [...]

International economic sanctions and Iran: Are there positive side effects? – Part Three

December 25, 2012 in Analysis

Editor’s note: This is the third part of a three part mini-series by Iranian economist Radman Sam on the possible “positive side-effects” of international economic sanctions on Iran. Part three focuses on the ways in which sanctions may be creating greater impetus for domestic production in Iran. Part one: www.iranpolitik.com/2012/12/17/analysis/international-economic-sanctions-iran-positive-side-effects/ Part two: www.iranpolitik.com/2012/12/20/analysis/international-economic-sanctions-iran-positive-side-effects-part-2/ ———- By Radman Sam One of the strategies most often cited by Iranian officials to combat the negative side effects of sanctions is to support the national production. Nevertheless they have not presented any concrete and  transparent explanation for this concept. There appear to be different interpretations among government, private sector, and economists about what [...]